Pungent-Autumn
0x1e6c43c5c043a02deb83f2473741b2b8e2a1b520
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$77.04
Realised
$165.97
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
313 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-11.94
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
171 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Twin Towers" during 9-11 memorial event?
124 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
65 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$17.00Sep 20, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$5.00Sep 20, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$5.00Sep 20, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$22.86Sep 17, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?$4.43Sep 17, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Iraq by October 31?$3.54Sep 11, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?$4.95Sep 11, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$106.39Sep 11, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Twin Towers" during 9-11 memorial event?$50.00Sep 10, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iraq by October 31?$5.00Sep 7, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$109.27Sep 5, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$5.50Sep 5, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$5.00Sep 3, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$0.45Sep 1, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$7.14Sep 1, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.91Sep 1, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$25.00Sep 1, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$11.54Aug 30, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$12.00Aug 30, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$24.97Aug 30, 01:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $19.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 20, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.