Apprehensive-Embassy
0x1e721c4ac80a6b09b21557ac4910d8b10a1a9644
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.6K
Realised
$-263.47
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
1146 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
976 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-450.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
841 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-450.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
774 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
697 shares @ 60.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-419.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
682 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
665 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$4.23Jul 21, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$4.23Jul 21, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$10.81Jul 21, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$4.18Jul 21, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$4.20Jul 21, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$4.23Jul 21, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$4.19Jul 21, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$93.61Jul 20, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$80.81Jul 20, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$4.18Jul 20, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$4.22Jul 20, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$10.44Jul 20, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$102.56Jul 20, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$81.23Jul 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$10.53Jul 20, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$84.21Jul 20, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$80.28Jul 20, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$10.60Jul 20, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$86.96Jul 20, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$80.45Jul 20, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $20.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.