Substantial-Sunshine
0x1e78ed1ba5d5aba2ea44e8bc83eef9c633df0363
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$92.61
Total PnL
$-9.7K
Realised
$849.69
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
93 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$92.61
$43.52
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
70400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-352.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
30000 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
27840 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
22585 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
7540 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?
7046 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-317.17
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
5000 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
1000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?
990 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-227.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?$18.00Feb 3, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?$102.70Feb 3, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$195.00Feb 1, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?$31.60Jan 21, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?$186.94Jan 21, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$4.76Jan 5, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$1.04Jan 5, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$11.80Jan 5, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$590.00Jan 5, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$3.12Jan 5, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$7.34Jan 5, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$2.26Jan 5, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$295.00Jan 5, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$0.06Jan 5, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$84.68Jan 5, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$174.00Jan 5, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$68.40Jan 5, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$56.72Jan 5, 14:41 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Jan 4, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $87.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 08:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 13:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.