Ornate-Pier
0x1e81f849986991c259c6a93432e5f28af2365599
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$210.50
Total PnL
$-13.1K
Realised
$-330.76
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1600 shares @ 20.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$168.00
$-152.76
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5000 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.50
$-924.02
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
25000 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.3K
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
2500 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-875.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
1400 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-365.67
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?
1000 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-33.28
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
550 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-86.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6.50May 29, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$13.00May 29, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$39.00May 29, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$10.50May 29, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$70.00May 29, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$2.70May 29, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$27.00May 29, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$53.05May 29, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7.00May 29, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$13.50May 29, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$100.00May 29, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$3.66May 29, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$6.80May 24, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$21.00May 24, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$15.95May 24, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$9.00May 24, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$44.00May 24, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$21.00Apr 30, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$11.00Apr 30, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$147.00Apr 30, 19:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $39.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 02:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.