Posh-Tandem
0x1e83fd623b7116d09dc20d871e791eda75115dfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
138
Open notional
$192.63
Total PnL
$-965.71
Realised
$-161.44
Win rate
26%
108 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- NO
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
233 shares @ 32.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$192.16
$116.92
- YES
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.47
$-0.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
66 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-32.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
61 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
59 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-29.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
55 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-47.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-24.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
47 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-23.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$2.33Aug 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$1.04Aug 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$2.12Aug 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$2.18Aug 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$2.53Aug 13, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - August 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.75Aug 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$3.35Aug 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$4.63Aug 13, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$4.97Aug 13, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$30.00Aug 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$14.92Aug 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$29.44Aug 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$6.65Aug 13, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.28Aug 13, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$4.00Aug 13, 06:56 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$46.00Aug 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.28Aug 13, 06:51 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$50.00Aug 13, 06:50 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$30.41Aug 13, 06:49 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$5.41Aug 13, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
61/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
26% win rate over 108 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
108 closed markets, 26% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 17:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 108 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.