Necessary-Fireplace
0x1e86bf1703355d8ec4b2961cb99f8ccab20a83ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2?
982 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 4?
817 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 28?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 3?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 19 above $235?
11 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$84.08Jun 6, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$84.00Jun 4, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 2?$40.08Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?$43.09Jun 1, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?$43.01Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2?$3.21Jun 1, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?$2.25Jun 1, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 2?$40.01Jun 1, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?$88.09May 24, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?$88.01May 24, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?$89.09May 22, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?$89.01May 21, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$89.09May 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$89.00May 10, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on May 7?$88.09May 10, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on May 7?$88.01May 6, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?$88.09May 6, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?$88.01May 3, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 3?$88.09May 3, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 3?$88.00May 2, 03:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $65.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.