Thorny-Dependent
0x1e8dc79ea960c9e001b29af38ffcc245e9e5043d
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-574.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- 76ERS
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
498 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-214.14
- BILLS
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
419 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-192.74
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
144 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-72.00
- NO
Will Stephen Chbosky - Nonnas win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?
106 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-52.75
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 25?
85 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-42.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Stephen Chbosky - Nonnas win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?$105.50Feb 19, 13:20 UTC
- SPLITWill Stephen Chbosky - Nonnas win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?$105.50Jan 27, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 8?$105.00Jan 9, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 8?$104.89Jan 7, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 5?$101.00Jan 7, 13:30 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 5?$101.00Jan 2, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 30?$87.00Jan 1, 08:59 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 30?$87.00Dec 28, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 25?$85.00Dec 26, 09:41 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 25?$85.00Dec 23, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$189.00Dec 11, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$188.81Dec 7, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Magic: O/U 219.5$141.00Nov 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Magic: O/U 219.5$67.68Nov 20, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bills (-6.5)$192.74Nov 20, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: 76ers (-2.5)$214.14Nov 19, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMHornets vs. Bucks$457.00Nov 15, 08:20 UTC
- SPLITHornets vs. Bucks$457.00Nov 14, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5$147.00Nov 12, 15:24 UTC
- SPLITPacers vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5$147.00Nov 12, 05:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $156.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 13:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".