Wallet digest

active

Activity score

49/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-16.6K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 13

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
4708 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-2.4K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
4696 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-2.3K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2366 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2366 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2366 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2366 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2354 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2354 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2354 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2348 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K

Recent activity

TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 16, 08:52 UTC
REDEEMUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$2.02Jan 16, 08:51 UTC
TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 9, 07:31 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 10:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 10:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 10:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 10:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 10:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$4.7KDec 25, 10:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 10:35 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 10:35 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 10:35 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$4.7KDec 25, 10:35 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$4.7KDec 25, 10:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$2.4KDec 25, 10:03 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 10:02 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 10:02 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$2.4KDec 25, 10:02 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$18.00Dec 25, 09:50 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$5.00Dec 25, 09:49 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity34 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk63 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 22
Avg trade size: $856.09
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 25, 08:48 UTC
Last active: Jan 16, 08:52 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:03:55 UTC·src:Polymarket Data