Impeccable-Sparerib
0x1ea0aefd909311d9e6a1f5bfeb231be92c3cae77
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
134
Open notional
$145.47
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-0.51
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 134- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
600 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.4¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$44.68
$-4.81
- NO
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
50 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$39.25
$0.75
- YES
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
500 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.9¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$14.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?
1000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$12.50
$-0.50
- YES
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$9.99
$5.99
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.45
$0.05
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 65.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.85
$0.35
- YES
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?
500 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.3¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$6.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?
500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$2.25
$-1.25
- YES
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-249.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$50.00Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$19.94Jul 28, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox$5.13Jul 26, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$95.00Jul 25, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 25?$22.00Jul 25, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$91.00Jul 24, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?$100.00Jul 24, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 24?$3.80Jul 24, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$4.00Jul 23, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMEstoril Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderi$5.00Jul 23, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?$75.00Jul 23, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$4.16Jul 23, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?$0.58Jul 23, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?$2.64Jul 23, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?$1.44Jul 23, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?$1.50Jul 23, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?$2.40Jul 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?$15.12Jul 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?$0.32Jul 23, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$5.20Jul 23, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.