Thick-Topic
0x1eaf9c308275170d47cb70f1079abc4a4a3e3793
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.29
Total PnL
$-36.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
161 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.29
$0.56
- YES
Will Rob Riggle win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
7730 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.73
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
115 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.40
- COWBOYS
Cowboys vs. Lions
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- SUNS
Suns vs. Rockets
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- LONG BEACH STATE BEACH
Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Knicks
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BAKERSFIELD ROADRUNNERS
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. CSUN Matadors
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$1.40Mar 28, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$14.80Feb 26, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$2.94Feb 26, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$4.20Feb 25, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.14Feb 25, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.56Feb 24, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.73Jan 20, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Riggle win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$7.73Dec 7, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Rockets$2.00Dec 5, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Knicks$1.00Dec 5, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBakersfield Roadrunners vs. CSUN Matadors$1.00Dec 5, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLong Beach State Beach vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos$1.00Dec 5, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCowboys vs. Lions$1.00Dec 5, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 25, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.00Oct 7, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 18:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 23:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.