Quaint-Act
0x1eb4c4111e170970e07223e69f5a0df630d5609c
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.24
Total PnL
$-29.90
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.06
$0.04
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.22
$0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 12?
4128 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 25?
1087 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 4?
1085 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.51
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 21?
1079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 24?
1079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 10?
1078 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on February 16?
1068 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.03Jun 9, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$5.02May 21, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.02May 13, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$2.21May 5, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.17May 4, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$5.50May 4, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.17Apr 22, 07:22 UTC
- REWARD$0.01Apr 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$5.41Apr 10, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 24?$2.16Mar 24, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on March 10?$2.16Mar 10, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 3?$3.20Mar 3, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 25?$3.26Feb 25, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 21?$2.16Feb 21, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on February 16?$3.20Feb 16, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.03Feb 13, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 4?$2.03Feb 4, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 4?$4.48Feb 4, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.02Feb 2, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$1.00Feb 2, 01:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $215.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 01:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 03:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.