Vague-Cause
0x1eb7682b8ba84111cf8b30d6a646f1e8a3b46a08
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-264.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lady Gaga win 1 Grammy?
9238 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-65.83
- YES
Will Lady Gaga win 4 Grammys?
9238 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-65.83
- YES
Will Lady Gaga win 0 Grammys?
9238 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-65.83
- YES
Will Lady Gaga win 5 or more Grammys?
9238 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-65.83
- YES
Will UAE strike Yemen by January 31?
752 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?$14.2KFeb 3, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Yemen by January 31?$1.50Feb 3, 04:42 UTC
- CONVERSIONHow many Grammys will Lady Gaga win?$9.2KFeb 3, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?$1.5KFeb 3, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?$1.5KFeb 3, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?$6.90Feb 3, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?$287.34Feb 3, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?$2.00Feb 3, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?$72.69Feb 3, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?$98.81Feb 3, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?$47.06Feb 3, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?$92.06Feb 3, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?$18.31Feb 3, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?$29.49Feb 3, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$2.9KFeb 1, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$1.8KFeb 1, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$1.2KFeb 1, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$16.56Feb 1, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$14.57Feb 1, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$65.54Feb 1, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $531.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 05:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".