Careless-Watercress
0x1ec7b8cc87420d48b6650fa31161858dde0cf306
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-87.80
Realised
$8.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
3881 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
1400 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1368 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?
439 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?
197 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the July meeting?
187 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?
136 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Syria strikes Israel by July 31?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Syria strikes Israel by Friday?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 12, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 12, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in July?$1.00Aug 12, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?$1.00Aug 12, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India agree to stop buying Russian oil by August 31?$1.00Aug 12, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$1.00Aug 7, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$1.00Aug 7, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$26.00Aug 7, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Aug 7, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$55.91Aug 7, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Aug 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLCat 3+ hurricane hits Miami in 2025?$5.23Aug 7, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 7, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCat 3+ hurricane hits Miami in 2025?$6.10Aug 4, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?$1.00Aug 4, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMMegaquake by August 31?$8.33Jul 31, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?$1.00Jul 25, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?$2.00Jul 25, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?$1.00Jul 25, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSyria strikes Israel by July 31?$1.00Jul 22, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 03:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 12:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".