0x1ecd390e0aae7c4ced91d5186fbbf8a61c680486
0x1ecd390e0aae7c4ced91d5186fbbf8a61c680486
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Michael Saylor say "Nvidia" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?
555 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2025$0.00
$-388.50
- YES
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
435 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-143.55
- NO
Will Trump say "Putin" during Meloni visit on April 17?
315 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-138.60
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on March 25?
315 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-34.65
- CHENNAI SUPER KINGS
Chennai Super Kings vs. Rajasthan Royals
290 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-159.50
- NO
Will Villarreal beat Espanyol?
175 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2025$0.00
$-57.75
- BANGALORE
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Gujarat Titans
95 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-53.20
- YES
March Madness: Team from the Big 12 to win?
85 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-40.80
- CHARRIERE
Nathaniel Wood vs. Morgan Charriere
30 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-16.20
- NO
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.