Thirsty-Arrangement
0x1ecddbd626c5559a5fe41c00bdb75e43087cc04c
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$26.71
Total PnL
$-3.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?
9 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$9.18
$0.38
- NO
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$5.87
$0.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17?
6 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$5.85
$0.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 18?
6 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$5.82
$0.30
- OVER
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Magic
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- UNDER
Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 224.5
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 5?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 18?$5.53Apr 16, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?$8.81Apr 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?$5.48Apr 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17?$5.40Apr 16, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump cut off trade with Spain?$6.38Apr 16, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Yemen in March?$6.65Apr 16, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Afghanistan in March?$6.35Apr 16, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Iraq in March?$6.77Apr 16, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?$5.00Mar 17, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.35Mar 17, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.08Mar 17, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$5.00Mar 17, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 7?$5.00Mar 17, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 12?$5.00Mar 17, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 7?$5.00Mar 17, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.08Mar 17, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 17, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 17, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$7.67Mar 17, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 12?$7.68Mar 17, 06:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 10:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 16:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".