Elastic-Yarmulke
0x1ecdfcfb308934463b1539277197142c8da59f47
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.35
Realised
$-0.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 59°F or below on January 27?
1009 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on January 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -6°C or below on January 28?
518 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 29°F or below on January 28?
253 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 32-33°F on January 28?
224 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on January 28?
209 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -7°C or below on January 30?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 34°F or higher on January 28?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 30-31°F on January 28?
146 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 9°F or below on January 30?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 44-45°F on January 30?$0.03Jan 29, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 10-11°F on January 30?$0.03Jan 29, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 10-11°F on January 30?$0.11Jan 29, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 10-11°F on January 30?$0.08Jan 29, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 12-13°F on January 30?$0.17Jan 29, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 10-11°F on January 30?$0.04Jan 29, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 12-13°F on January 30?$0.34Jan 29, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 12-13°F on January 30?$0.54Jan 29, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 10-11°F on January 30?$0.32Jan 29, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 9°F or below on January 30?$1.01Jan 29, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 30?$0.94Jan 29, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 44-45°F on January 30?$0.34Jan 29, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 41°F or below on January 30?$0.16Jan 29, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 30?$0.19Jan 29, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 41°F or below on January 30?$0.01Jan 29, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 41°F or below on January 30?$0.66Jan 29, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on January 30?$0.87Jan 29, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 42-43°F on January 30?$0.40Jan 29, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on January 30?$0.07Jan 29, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or higher on January 30?$0.00Jan 29, 13:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 20:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".