Thick-Second
0x1ed83ee81b5419b3142cf07289b70835dfd80afd
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$37.75
Total PnL
$1.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.22
$0.57
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
5 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.13
$0.09
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.05
$0.11
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.30
$0.30
- NO
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
2 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Nguyễn Hòa Bình be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Mistral have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$4.94Mar 13, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$5.04Mar 9, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$2.00Mar 9, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nguyễn Hòa Bình be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$2.00Mar 9, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$2.00Mar 9, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$2.00Mar 9, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$13.00Mar 9, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$44.33Mar 9, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Jazz$662.50Dec 16, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$18.66Dec 15, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Jazz$311.38Dec 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$43.80Dec 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?$43.80Dec 14, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?$14.25Oct 4, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?$28.85Oct 4, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$12.87Oct 4, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.50 in August?$55.97Oct 4, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.50 in August?$55.41Aug 12, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?$55.41Aug 12, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?$55.19Jul 13, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $31.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 12:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.