Wallet digest

active

Activity score

49/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-15.0K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025
$0.00
$-2.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025
$0.00
$-2.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025
$0.00
$-2.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025
$0.00
$-2.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025
$0.00
$-2.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025
$0.00
$-2.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025
$0.00
$-2.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025
$0.00
$-1.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.10Oct 21, 04:05 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.20Oct 21, 04:04 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$4.0KOct 11, 08:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.0KOct 11, 07:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$2.0KOct 11, 06:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$2.0KOct 11, 06:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$4.0KOct 11, 06:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.0KOct 11, 05:36 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.0KOct 11, 05:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$2.0KOct 11, 05:34 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Oct 11, 04:54 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Oct 11, 04:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$2.0KOct 11, 04:03 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.0KOct 11, 04:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.0KOct 11, 02:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.0KOct 11, 02:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.0KOct 11, 02:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.0KOct 11, 02:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$4.0KOct 11, 02:43 UTC
TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.39Oct 11, 02:40 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity35 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk64 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 24
Avg trade size: $1.1K
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 9, 13:13 UTC
Last active: Oct 21, 04:05 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:08:24 UTC·src:Polymarket Data