Circular-Thinking
0x1ee3c6015d368097b46548f92791867b80c8c8f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-222.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
4132 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on September 5?
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Cole Palmer win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1833 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
1235 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1106 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will another company be the second largest in the world by market cap on September 30?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (January 25)$0.00Jan 22, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (January 25)$10.00Jan 22, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$0.00Jan 20, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.00Jan 20, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.00Jan 20, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.00Jan 20, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.00Jan 20, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.00Jan 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (January 25)$3.20Jan 20, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$16.25Jan 20, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$14.19Sep 18, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 18, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$5.00Sep 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 18, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$7.32Sep 17, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$2.00Sep 17, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 17, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 13, 03:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 13:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".