Straight-Possibility
0x1ee5d1591b342c9b9fdbfe8c9774cdb619c85b0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-226.60
Realised
$0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5091 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-55.99
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will SV win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?
160 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-23.83
- YES
Will H win the second most seats in the Norway election?
150 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.11
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?
113 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.12
- YES
Will FrP win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?
110 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.33
- YES
Will Ap win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?
110 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.33
- YES
Will KrF win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?
110 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.33
- YES
Will PF win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?
110 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?$0.00Mar 8, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 24-30?$0.00Mar 8, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill H win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?$0.00Mar 8, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5PM ET$0.00Mar 8, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Mar 8, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.00Mar 8, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$0.00Mar 8, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$0.00Mar 8, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.00Mar 8, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the European Union win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Mar 8, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$6.00Mar 8, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$6.00Mar 8, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$61.50Mar 7, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$61.49Feb 2, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.85Jan 21, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$6.00Jan 21, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$4.19Jan 21, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$38.00Jan 21, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$59.00Jan 13, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $11.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".