Winged-Contagion
0x1ef15507d954d1d378a8bdc93903af16f6d88b77
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$121.82
Total PnL
$-99.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 1?
102 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$100.04
$1.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 1?
28 shares @ 90.1¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$21.79
$-3.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
27 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
16 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 22?
13 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
13 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
13 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
7 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 1?$99.13Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 1?$25.12May 31, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?$123.43May 31, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?$120.17May 31, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 30?$88.46May 31, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30?$33.02May 31, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30?$32.05May 30, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$10.51May 30, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$6.62May 30, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 29?$14.31May 29, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 30?$85.17May 29, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$5.13May 29, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$5.17May 29, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$6.06May 29, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$53.19May 29, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$50.21May 29, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$15.27May 29, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 29?$10.15May 29, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$2.57May 29, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$5.12May 29, 02:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $41.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 20:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".