Past-Garter
0x1ef6082a36d1ab812b24a4cdbdb91403caa45fa4
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$7.58
Total PnL
$-541.54
Realised
$9.74
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
45 shares @ 32.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.58
$-6.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
493 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-41.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
300 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-23.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
210 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will turnout be less than 36% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?
162 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.83
- YES
Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
150 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-76.70
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
120 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-59.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
120 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.18
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
100 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$14.65May 18, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$14.07Apr 13, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10.00Apr 11, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$2.68Mar 23, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$1.40Mar 23, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTulsi Gabbard out by March 31?$1.25Mar 16, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$1.24Mar 16, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$1.29Mar 16, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.03Mar 16, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$6.00Mar 9, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.00Mar 9, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$10.00Mar 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$5.00Mar 9, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$5.00Mar 9, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$20.00Mar 9, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard out by March 31?$7.76Mar 9, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?$56.31Mar 6, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.00Feb 18, 16:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.05Feb 18, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $11.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".