Quixotic-Cost
0x1ef65150a3e78aaaeea3f1d93b6ffa07161b7b50
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.20
Total PnL
$-5.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 24?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bologna win on 2025-09-28?
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 24?$3.00Nov 24, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$248.98Oct 10, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?$10.64Oct 10, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$249.24Oct 9, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?$5.00Sep 28, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna win on 2025-09-28?$3.00Sep 28, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Sep 28, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$1.00Sep 28, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWhite girlfriend who shot Black bf guilty? $0.86Sep 28, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?$1.09Sep 28, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMAny Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?$2.38Sep 28, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMDiddy convicted of a felony?$2.41Sep 28, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?$2.00Jun 4, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWhite girlfriend who shot Black bf guilty? $1.00Jun 4, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiddy convicted of a felony?$2.00Jun 4, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?$1.00Jun 4, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?$1.04Jun 4, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May?$0.00Jun 4, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMTrump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?$0.00Jun 4, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference?$1.00Jun 4, 02:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $16.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 01:19 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 24, 02:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.