Our-Factor
0x1ef6a5fa2ef05e98d1bd53e85fe6e563adc641af
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$601.86
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-7.71
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
199 shares @ 74.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$118.20
$-28.80
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
297 shares @ 64.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$108.36
$-81.64
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
278 shares @ 54.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$77.78
$-72.22
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
150 shares @ 60.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$66.75
$-23.25
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
105 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$59.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
75 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$49.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
91 shares @ 55.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$45.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
43 shares @ 63.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$27.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
40 shares @ 60.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$25.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
35 shares @ 71.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$24.47
$-0.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$24.29Jun 10, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$25.22Jun 10, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$27.30Jun 10, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$50.67Jun 10, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$60.77Jun 10, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$50.49Jun 10, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$238.95Jun 10, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$236.00Jun 8, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$142.02Jun 8, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?$123.90Jun 8, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?$85.00Jun 8, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$100.00Jun 8, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$185.16Jun 8, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$222.44Jun 7, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$131.53Jun 7, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$91.13Jun 7, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 7, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$109.75Jun 7, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$130.00Jun 6, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$130.00Jun 6, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $89.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 22:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.