Unhappy-Collector
0x1ef6e065f2576d28280006dc88243115cbc412a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.90
Total PnL
$-11.04
Realised
$-0.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.42
$0.00
- NO
Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.47
$0.00
- YES
Will Chris Moneymaker win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-10?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-10?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Canada counter tariff the U.S. in April?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?$269.46Dec 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Dec 16, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?$271.20Dec 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?$272.00Dec 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?$274.70Dec 16, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Moneymaker win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.50Dec 16, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.08Dec 12, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek be #1 model before July?$1.22Dec 12, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.39Dec 12, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.00Apr 6, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2025-04-10?$2.00Apr 6, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lyon win on 2025-04-10?$2.00Apr 6, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada counter tariff the U.S. in April?$2.00Apr 6, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Raiders make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.00Apr 6, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek be #1 model before April?$2.04Apr 6, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Chinese AI model become #1 before April? $2.07Apr 6, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek be #1 model before July?$1.00Mar 6, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese AI model become #1 before April? $2.00Mar 6, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek be #1 model before April?$2.00Mar 6, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$1.02Mar 6, 07:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $34.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 01:49 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 01:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.