Fearful-Diagnosis
0x1efb3c6bc361880faae327e8255825c8663577ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-95.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
6600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?
3300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NATIONALS
White Sox vs. Nationals
25 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- ARKANSAS STATE
Arkansas State vs. Kennesaw State
22 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YANKEES
Red Sox vs. Yankees
21 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-11.50
- REDS
Reds vs. Dodgers
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- WARRIORS
Cavaliers vs. Warriors
16 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMCommanders vs. Chargers$19.11Nov 12, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Dolphins$38.00Nov 12, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?$8.00Sep 30, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Sox vs. Yankees$11.50Sep 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Chargers$8.00Sep 30, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYReds vs. Dodgers$7.00Sep 30, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Dolphins$19.00Sep 29, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMOrioles vs. Yankees$19.57Sep 29, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.60Sep 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRavens vs. Chiefs$5.00Sep 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWhite Sox vs. Nationals$13.00Sep 28, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Carolina State vs. Duke$0.00Sep 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYOrioles vs. Yankees$12.00Sep 28, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYVikings vs. Steelers$6.00Sep 28, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Carolina State vs. Duke$3.97Sep 28, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?$3.30Sep 20, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarshall vs. Middle Tennessee$5.00Sep 20, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYArkansas State vs. Kennesaw State$14.00Sep 20, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Carolina State vs. Duke$2.50Sep 20, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMBrewers vs. Pirates$5.36Sep 20, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $6.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 13:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".