Dental-Consist
0x1efc40382878ab262c24ebf3364186a371417700
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$42.68
Total PnL
$-301.71
Realised
$-5.74
Win rate
0%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
29 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$29.07
$4.07
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$13.61
$3.61
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
97 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
69 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?
47 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
47 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-24.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$25.24Aug 21, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$5.00Aug 4, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on August 4?$1.03Aug 4, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.10Aug 2, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$6.10Aug 2, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?$10.12Jul 26, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.04Jul 26, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$11.36Jul 19, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$16.81Jul 19, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$5.14Jul 19, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$5.16Jul 19, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$10.20Jul 19, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$10.17Jul 16, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.14Jul 16, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-15?$7.81Jul 15, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$9.43Jul 15, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$5.12Jul 15, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$5.09Jul 15, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$16.34Jul 12, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMNorway to score first vs. England?$12.82Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
31 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $10.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 14:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 14:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.