Fatal-Poetry
0x1f07680c088bb69e189873d9157dca6e17a2d85c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$42.42
Total PnL
$0.10
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
0%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 61°F or below on June 7?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.49
$0.01
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.32
$0.04
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.03
$0.01
- NO
Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.90
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 7?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.82
$0.00
- NO
Will Microsoft have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.89
$0.00
- NO
Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.10
$0.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 7?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.67
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 7?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.50
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 1-7?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$1.44
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$32.47Jul 8, 14:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $4.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.