Honest-Cowboy
0x1f179c5f0e9f340d8382845b92cc06261a2f819c
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$16.64
Total PnL
$-8.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?
9 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$8.72
$5.32
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
7 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.90
$1.10
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 6?
10 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2025$0.00
$-6.80
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
9 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
7 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$3.80Sep 6, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by September 15?$3.40Sep 6, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Sep 6, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$1.00Sep 6, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$3.30Sep 6, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.80Sep 6, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 6?$6.80Sep 6, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $3.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 6, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 6, 21:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.