Incredible-Fail
0x1f1bd16ac012e5f032946474e082c874174e380e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-852.97
Realised
$-3.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
281 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.24
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?
239 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score
235 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-147.79
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?
159 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.64
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?
127 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-80.16
- YES
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-10?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
SV Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score
93 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?
88 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.38
- YES
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
84 shares @ 68.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-57.19
- YES
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
71 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-44.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score$44.19Feb 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSV win on 2026-02-08?$33.62Feb 8, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win on 2026-02-08?$12.82Feb 8, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?$3.64Feb 1, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?$3.00Feb 1, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?$5.00Feb 1, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?$11.64Feb 1, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?$6.06Feb 1, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLRCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5$6.06Jan 30, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5$3.55Jan 30, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5$1.00Jan 30, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLAFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score$69.42Jan 28, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score$41.82Jan 28, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qairat FK win on 2026-01-28?$1.00Jan 28, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-28?$2.00Jan 28, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?$4.00Jan 25, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLArsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score$74.26Jan 25, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score$35.68Jan 25, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?$35.68Jan 25, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?$9.40Jan 25, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 14:39 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 16:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".