Gray-Bet
0x1f23793be5d3b2c6af6f081139d141241d5976db
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 26?
701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 6?
701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 24?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
620 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.24
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 13?
560 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 2?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
398 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 13?$100.90Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 13?$100.81Jun 12, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?$100.80May 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?$100.61May 29, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$100.60May 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$100.51May 24, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$100.50May 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$100.41May 17, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$100.10May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$100.00May 11, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$2.22May 11, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$51.05May 8, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?$51.05May 7, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?$51.00May 7, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$51.00May 7, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$102.10May 7, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$102.00Apr 29, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?$102.38Apr 29, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?$102.28Apr 25, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 26?$1.51Apr 25, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $80.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 09:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.