0x1f241e8bf389883e119b86876d584633beb9576c
0x1f241e8bf389883e119b86876d584633beb9576c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-114.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
4607 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.50
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
3020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
627 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "hell" during Israel President events on December 29?$3.00Dec 29, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$2.00Dec 29, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?$1.00Dec 28, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?$1.00Dec 28, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?$6.00Dec 28, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?$0.36Dec 28, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 470 million subscribers by December 31?$0.14Dec 28, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by December 31?$0.67Dec 28, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?$2.00Dec 28, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?$2.00Dec 28, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$0.24Dec 28, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$4.00Dec 28, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$2.00Dec 27, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$10.00Dec 27, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?$4.50Dec 27, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$5.00Dec 27, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$8.60Dec 26, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by December 31?$2.00Dec 26, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 490 million subscribers by December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 21:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 14:56 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 12:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.