Immaterial-Riding
0x1f29597f4c5d8a5a1316cadcba474214cadf475a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-38.44
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
623 shares @ 58.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-362.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1?
547 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-284.41
- YES
Will Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 30?
343 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-88.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 1?
323 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-122.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 10?
285 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?
247 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-72.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 26?
244 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-73.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 27?
174 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-60.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 9?
168 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-22.15
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$3.40Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?$2.84Jul 1, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: Other$2.88Jul 1, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?$2.39Jun 19, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?$25.70Jun 19, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?$30.74Jun 19, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?$9.01Jun 19, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$63.86Jun 18, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$9.52Jun 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$27.62Jun 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$23.64Jun 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$5.05Jun 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$3.53Jun 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$7.40Jun 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$7.40Jun 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$3.31Jun 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$7.60Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$11.45Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$5.82Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$2.97Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $15.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.