Vague-Pants
0x1f29a6497c904132468941bdc34b0fbdec760a3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
99
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-385.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
137 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?
85 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
46 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
45 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 3AM ET
32 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarCraft II: herO vs Classic (BO3) - Global StarCraft II League Group Stage 2 - Group A$6.00May 25, 07:35 UTC
- SPLITStarCraft II: herO vs Classic (BO3) - Global StarCraft II League Group Stage 2 - Group A$10.00May 25, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$11.61May 21, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$10.10May 21, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$13.30May 10, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$10.10May 4, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.20Apr 27, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.40Apr 27, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$5.59Apr 24, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$6.00Apr 22, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$7.00Apr 20, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMTottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5$21.71Apr 20, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5$20.00Apr 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?$10.00Apr 18, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$5.00Apr 17, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$7.18Apr 17, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 03:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 07:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".