Appropriate-Probe
0x1f3d799f3c1c5334b5113e7aa3cf4165447f8084
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$73.17
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
15 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$15.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31?
13 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.82
$0.82
- LAKERS
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
12 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$11.83
$0.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
12 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$11.58
$0.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
11 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$11.11
$0.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
11 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.67
$0.67
- WILD
Wild vs. Bruins
2012 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
13 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.84
- RAPTORS
Kings vs. Raptors
13 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-05-31?$12.02May 31, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$5.00May 31, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$5.04May 31, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$15.01May 17, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$11.01May 17, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$11.04May 12, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-14.5)$11.02May 12, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$10.24May 12, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?$10.29May 12, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$10.01May 1, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.20May 1, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$7.19May 1, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$20.38May 1, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$31.12May 1, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$20.00Apr 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$31.00Apr 28, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$10.19Apr 28, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$10.29Apr 28, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?$10.47Apr 28, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Torino FC win on 2026-04-26?$14.56Apr 28, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $11.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 12:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 22:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".