Gregarious-Step
0x1f4270ae3bfd5d5acf55e47bf7684e6920df506e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$32.39
Total PnL
$-69.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Trudeau out before April?
16 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$16.26
$5.53
- YES
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$16.13
$11.13
- YES
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will someone else be inaugurated?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
172 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-20.60
- NO
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
161 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?
149 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Biden pardon Edward Snowden?
84 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?
51 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.29
- YES
Sisi out as President of Egypt by March 31?
48 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.68
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be a US Government shutdown? $0.00Dec 25, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?$14.29Dec 24, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUY100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025?$20.00Dec 24, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSisi out as President of Egypt by March 31?$6.68Dec 24, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$5.00Dec 24, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$5.00Dec 24, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon Jim Biden?$5.00Dec 24, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon Edward Snowden?$4.80Dec 24, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon Julian Assange?$2.50Dec 24, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $7.00Dec 24, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau out before April?$10.73Dec 24, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$2.80Dec 24, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$4.80Dec 24, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$11.60Dec 24, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$9.00Dec 24, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $7.80Dec 24, 20:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $7.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 20:25 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 25, 09:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".