Major-Randomisation
0x1f46b45a96ad3b7368e6024b0604cb5c9154ef94
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$208.45
Total PnL
$-10.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1235 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$201.85
$1.85
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
269 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on June 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 10?
23 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.67
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.20Jun 13, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$7.14Jun 13, 23:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 10?$10.96Jun 9, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on June 10?$1.05Jun 9, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$205.03Jun 9, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$5.04Jun 9, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $45.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 19:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.