0x1f4baa479f3b19aa2b88f80163d228af23547042
0x1f4baa479f3b19aa2b88f80163d228af23547042
Wallet digest
Activity score
24/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-607.37
Realised
$-10.09
Win rate
23%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
1916 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-28.95
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?
206 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-133.77
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
129 shares @ 94.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-121.37
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
120 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
110 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.06
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
104 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
103 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
23% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.