Wary-Creek
0x1f539f40eedcff2a229320b08ebf5ca70d246aac
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$80.68
Total PnL
$-0.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- KNICKS
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
55 shares @ 71.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$38.22
$-0.83
- NO
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
28 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$26.46
$-0.14
- GOLDEN KNIGHTS
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
30 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$10.95
$0.15
- YES
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
478 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.11
$0.24
- YES
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
300 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.95
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?$26.67May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$39.39May 18, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$387.00May 18, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 19?$186.43May 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$198.95May 18, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$199.24May 17, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$200.00May 17, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$183.66May 16, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$130.00May 16, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Avalanche$11.00May 16, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$153.69May 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$176.92May 15, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMDubrovnik: Dominika Salkova vs Kaitlin Quevedo$0.00May 15, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Spurs$0.00May 15, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMDucks vs. Oilers$0.00May 15, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMPanthers vs. Islanders$0.00May 15, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. Tampa Bay Rays$0.00May 15, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Rangers$0.00May 15, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Hawks$0.00May 15, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMGrizzlies vs. Hawks$0.00May 15, 23:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $70.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 01:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".