Spry-Roundabout
0x1f55526663a32d5599138ec02be138e537dce9a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$225.91
Total PnL
$-149.7K
Realised
$387.51
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
23779 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$225.91
$-74.07
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
140000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?
85149 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.7K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 26-1?
59021 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-99.98
- YES
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?
54891 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
53219 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?
49922 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-989.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 9?
40097 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-99.96
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
39262 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
38554 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.