Reckless-Journalism
0x1f555795246bd7a3e097050000c6cc9d4342fe67
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$590.72
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-127.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
597 shares @ 83.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$590.72
$90.72
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
2512 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- CABO VERDE
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
1054 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
956 shares @ 57.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-550.21
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
833 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
598 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-305.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
500 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
500 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-375.00
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
491 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$205.92Jul 19, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: Team to Win$322.58Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$103.45Jul 18, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$0.29Jul 15, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$204.57Jul 15, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-09?$314.39Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$202.26Jul 9, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$102.66Jul 7, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$101.59Jul 7, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$303.03Jul 5, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$102.01Jul 5, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$89.97Jul 3, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$102.73Jul 3, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$102.89Jul 3, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$500.00Jun 23, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.1KJun 22, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$613.13Jun 22, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$306.60Jun 14, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$836.49Jun 14, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$103.69May 16, 21:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $242.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 01:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.