Reckless-Journalism
0x1f555795246bd7a3e097050000c6cc9d4342fe67
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-127.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1200 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$18.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
836 shares @ 59.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$836.49
$336.49
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
2512 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
1054 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
956 shares @ 57.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-550.21
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
833 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
598 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-305.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
500 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
500 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-375.00
- YES
Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?
412 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$103.69May 16, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$619.56Apr 23, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$200.00Apr 19, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$300.00Apr 17, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$12.30Apr 17, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$300.00Apr 12, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$200.00Apr 12, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$150.00Apr 12, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$430.26Apr 8, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$101.00Mar 6, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?$100.00Mar 6, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$861.87Mar 6, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$200.00Feb 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$305.00Feb 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$800.00Feb 28, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$200.00Feb 27, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.0KFeb 25, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$464.00Feb 22, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$536.20Feb 22, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$450.19Feb 19, 19:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $279.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".