General-Absence
0x1f555a3288e155a65b968b876a25db363ae7ce1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-50.0K
Realised
$-2.1K
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?
35488 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 25?
27063 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-11.9K
- YES
Will Solana dip to $120 in July?
23022 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.2K
- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
21679 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.0K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
21000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.2K
- YES
Will Solana dip to $130 in July?
18000 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.6K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 1?
15000 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.3K
- YES
Will XRP dip to $2.0 in July?
10400 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- NO
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
10000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?
8806 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 1?$0.12Jul 26, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 1?$45.78Jul 26, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 1?$2.1KJul 26, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 1?$2.1KJul 26, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 1?$179.76Jul 26, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 1?$194.34Jul 26, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 1?$1.7KJul 26, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 25?$81.00Jul 20, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 25?$45.82Jul 20, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 25?$1.8KJul 20, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 25?$1.4KJul 20, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 25?$2.7KJul 20, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 25?$1.7KJul 20, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 25?$2.1KJul 20, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 25?$189.00Jul 20, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 25?$1.8KJul 20, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $120 in July?$4.75Jul 18, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?$331.78Jul 18, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?$95.93Jul 18, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?$1.1KJul 18, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $598.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 08:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 15:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.