Poised-Instance
0x1f5b46890085a8887bca2bc8a4eaad281430650f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$170.36
Total PnL
$-107.90
Realised
$-0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Trump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?
51 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$50.59
$12.14
- NO
Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers by September 15th?
45 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$45.49
$2.73
- NO
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?
39 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$39.26
$8.24
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
35 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$35.02
$1.37
- YES
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
173 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.56
- YES
US strikes Yemen by August 31?
100 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.61
- YES
Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?
77 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-52.81
- YES
Will courts block Trump's D.C. takeover by August 31?
43 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.42
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?
37 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?
34 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-28.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?$5.20Sep 9, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuccessful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?$31.02Sep 7, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in August 2025?$2.19Sep 4, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OPEC hike production by next meeting?$4.00Sep 4, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?$24.05Sep 3, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?$28.41Sep 3, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers by September 15th?$42.76Sep 2, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$33.65Sep 2, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?$38.45Sep 2, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?$5.30Sep 2, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?$42.31Sep 2, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?$43.53Sep 1, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile test by September 15?$2.10Sep 1, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$36.41Sep 1, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by August 31?$50.00Sep 1, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMNew X CEO announced by August 31?$51.58Sep 1, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMHarvard international students ban ended by August 31?$52.54Sep 1, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMTrump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by August 31?$56.32Sep 1, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in August 2025?$10.11Aug 31, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?$0.40Aug 29, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $16.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 24, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 9, 15:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".