Stupendous-Boar
0x1f5cf3d6fc129d4defe2b35aef6f576a6578a5de
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
131
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-59.4K
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 131- SPURS
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
47373 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-23.7K
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
39900 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-119.70
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
26100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-26.10
- KIWOOM DRX
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
14974 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
14000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-775.77
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 25?
9006 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- UNDER
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5
8642 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-533.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 18?
8289 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- PACIFIC TIGERS
Pacific Tigers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
7972 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-345.93
- NO
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
7948 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-299.63
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$31.17Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$62.59Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$228.44Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$126.27Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.62Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$95.62Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$61.92Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.76Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$15.89Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$101.96Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$124.73Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$237.02Jun 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$17.13Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$221.37Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$108.75Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.23Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$33.98Jun 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.19Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.45Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$136.56Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $93.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.