Well-Made-Dinghy
0x1f6123bc41d9f7c394c799e2ee4fa034032988d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.80
Total PnL
$-9.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.46
$0.06
- NO
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.32
$0.02
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.36
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
4 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.47
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.40Jun 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.30Jun 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.00Jun 18, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$1.80Jun 18, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.00Jun 18, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$3.01Jun 18, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$3.01Mar 31, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$1.80Mar 31, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.00Mar 31, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.09Mar 31, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$2.30Mar 31, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$2.29Jan 6, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.47Jan 6, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$4.36Jan 6, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.17Jan 6, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.45Jan 6, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.02Dec 8, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.07Dec 8, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.05Dec 8, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?$1.06Dec 8, 04:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $269.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 04:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.