Noteworthy-Vintner
0x1f6b85cb85876df272199039207b33166757267e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.2K
Realised
$12.9K
Win rate
66%
86 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
195899 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-198.64
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 26?
120000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-339.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?
107617 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-157.55
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?
104967 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-286.77
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 27?
103655 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-176.73
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
103130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-122.52
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?
101927 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-149.53
- YES
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?
100000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-179.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 17?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 16?
99891 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-218.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$3.56Jul 31, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$2.11Jul 31, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31?$2.14Jul 31, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$7.27Jul 31, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$10.07Jul 31, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$4.71Jul 31, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$2.45Jul 31, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$2.92Jul 31, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$2.71Jul 31, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$3.45Jul 31, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$3.79Jul 31, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$2.89Jul 31, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$2.20Jul 31, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.80Jul 31, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.20Jul 31, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.85Jul 31, 04:12 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$20.00Jul 31, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$6.29Jul 31, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$8.94Jul 31, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Jul 31, 04:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
66% win rate over 86 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
86 closed markets, 66% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $8.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 04:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 86 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.