Those-Mandarin
0x1f766e76e172cae36079d6fe8ef4971d7aadbeba
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$541.13
Total PnL
$-9.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
486 shares @ 50.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$461.64
$218.80
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
486 shares @ 50.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.04
$-218.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on May 23?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.90
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on May 23?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.69
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on May 23?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$8.29
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or below on May 23?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.77
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C or below on May 23?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.59
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 21?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$6.11
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 23?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 23, 2026$6.10
$-0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2AM ET
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or below on May 23?$7.80May 22, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on May 23?$9.70May 22, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 23?$6.10May 22, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on May 23?$8.30May 22, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on May 23?$9.90May 22, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C or below on May 23?$7.60May 22, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C or below on May 22?$7.51May 22, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 22, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 26°C or below on May 22?$7.11May 21, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 22?$7.71May 21, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on May 22?$9.91May 21, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on May 22?$9.41May 21, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 22?$7.21May 21, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on May 21?$6.31May 21, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 21?$7.42May 21, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C or below on May 22?$7.50May 21, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on May 22?$9.90May 21, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on May 22?$9.40May 21, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 26°C or below on May 22?$7.10May 21, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 22?$7.20May 21, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $8.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 11:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 04:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".