Novel-Promise
0x1f789eb1a5ff2da596241d43e1d40b41f8e6bbe8
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$573.31
Total PnL
$-37.5K
Realised
$-517.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
513 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$499.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$20.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
154 shares @ 9.8¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.50
$3.50
- YES
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
97 shares @ 20.7¢·now 17.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$16.43
$-3.57
- YES
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
77 shares @ 6.5¢·now 6.7¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$5.16
$0.16
- YES
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.42
$-0.58
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 76.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.10
$-0.90
- NO
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-02?
21655 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-21.6K
- NO
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-17?
10855 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.7K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$10.63Jun 13, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$10.02Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5$10.99Jun 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5$10.03Jun 12, 19:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$10.23Jun 11, 19:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 10, 21:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jun 9, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.11Jun 9, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.63Jun 9, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.19Jun 9, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.00Jun 9, 14:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMBratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios$5.21Jun 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios$5.01Jun 8, 14:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $37.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 11:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.