Sure-Footed-Publisher
0x1f78f82a9021b0c5bea972b25e6218cf16957954
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$199.10
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
150 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$49.83
$0.42
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.20
$-0.20
- NO
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?
1800 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-432.00
- KRAKEN
Avalanche vs. Kraken
1500 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-420.00
- YES
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-29?
1451 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-260.18
- CHARGERS
Chargers vs. Giants
1200 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-888.00
- PREDATORS
Hurricanes vs. Predators
900 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-333.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
220 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.02
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
220 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2.40Jul 20, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$49.43Jun 29, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$147.15Jun 8, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$100.00Jun 8, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$48.72May 15, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$150.00May 15, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$48.72May 15, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$149.40Apr 13, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$50.00Apr 13, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$150.00Apr 13, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$48.35Mar 15, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$141.00Feb 25, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$90.00Feb 25, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$82.80Feb 3, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$20.00Feb 3, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$130.00Feb 3, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$124.41Jan 15, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$80.00Jan 15, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Predators$333.00Dec 17, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMBlackhawks vs. Maple Leafs$500.00Dec 17, 14:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $322.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 27, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 12:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.