Thick-Moccasins
0x1f793ee35163303ebab2c6ee991790cda940757b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$41.72
Total PnL
$-208.28
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- REPUBLICANS
Senate control after 2024 election?
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$20.83
$0.83
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
19 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$19.35
$7.35
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.53
$0.23
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1101 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-117.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
287 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
65 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
61 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-9.68
- YES
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
24 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?$30.00Nov 6, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$15.00Nov 6, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$30.00Nov 6, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$9.85Nov 6, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$65.15Nov 6, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$15.00Nov 6, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenate control after 2024 election?$20.00Nov 6, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$12.00Nov 6, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$42.00Nov 5, 23:53 UTC
- MERGEWill Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$2.00Oct 9, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$3.00Oct 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$10.00Oct 8, 23:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $22.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 23:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 05:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.